Why Even Unlimited Water Can No Longer Protect the World’s Tallest Trees From Rising Heat
Environmental Science

Why Even Unlimited Water Can No Longer Protect the World’s Tallest Trees From Rising Heat

Coast redwoods have survived millions of years of climate change, but scientists have now discovered a hidden biological weakness threatening their future.

By William Moore
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Circle Of Coast Redwoods At Henry Cowell Redwoods State Park Scaled
The World's Tallest Trees Survived 20 Million Years, but Scientists Just Found a Threat They Can't Escape - | yhelfman from Getty Images / Canva

Coast redwoods (Sequoia sempervirens) have endured for roughly 20 million years, a timeline that predates the evolutionary divergence of humans and gibbons. While these giants once spanned vast regions of the Northern Hemisphere, shifting climatic patterns have long pushed them into a narrow, moisture-rich sanctuary along the fog-drenched coasts of northern California and southern Oregon. Today, however, that stronghold is under threat: human development has whittled their natural range down to a mere 5 percent, and a rapidly warming climate is now compromising the very biological mechanisms that allow these titans to thrive.

A new study conducted by researchers at the University of California, Davis, and published in JGR Biogeosciences, reveals that rising temperatures are hitting these trees harder than previously understood. By analyzing the physiological responses of redwood leaves to heat, scientists found that the trees struggle to maintain essential life functions when ambient temperatures climb.

Leaves Struggle to Cool Down as Mercury Climbs

Led by UC Davis researcher Lily Klinek, the team monitored the physiology of redwood leaves from July 2022 to October 2024 to determine how the species manages thermal stress. The data indicates a significant drop in photosynthetic performance as temperatures rise. Perhaps more alarming is the discovery that redwoods become increasingly inefficient at regulating their own surface temperatures under heat stress.

Air Temperature (°c) And Vapor Pressure Deficit (vpd (kpa)) Measurements During The Study Period At Garcia River Forest
Air temperature (°C) and vapor pressure deficit (VPD (kPa)) measurements during the study period at Garcia River Forest – © JGR Biogeosciences

When air temperatures hit 86 degrees Fahrenheit (30 degrees Celsius), the leaves themselves can soar to temperatures nearly 20 degrees Fahrenheit (roughly 11 degrees Celsius) hotter than the surrounding air. This physiological overheating highlights the strain placed on a species that can grow over 300 feet tall.

She emphasized that this research is a critical first step in pinpointing which areas of the forest are most at risk, helping experts develop strategies to bolster the health of these ancient ecosystems.

Leaf And Air Temperatures Recorded By The Li‐600 During Diurnal Light‐acclimated Measurements In Spring, Summer, And Early Fall At Grf
Leaf and air temperatures recorded by the LI‐600 during diurnal light‐acclimated measurements in spring, summer, and early fall at GRF – © JGR Biogeosciences

Water Availability Is Not a Silver Bullet

Like humans sweating to maintain a stable internal temperature, redwoods utilize microscopic pores known as stomata to regulate moisture release and cooling. This process relies heavily on water availability, which is often provided by the consistent, cool fog banks of the Pacific coast. However, as the climate shifts and these fogs dissipate, the trees are forced to choose between closing their stomata to save water or keeping them open to cool their leaves.

To determine if water scarcity was the sole driver of the observed decline in photosynthesis, the researchers conducted a controlled experiment. They placed redwood leaf samples in water, ensuring the stomata remained open and fully hydrated. Even with access to unlimited water, the leaves still experienced a reduction in photosynthetic output when exposed to higher temperatures.

Time Series Of (a) Temperature Difference (Δt = Tleaf–tair; °c), And (b) Maximum Non‐photochemical Quenching
Time series of (a) temperature difference (ΔT = Tleaf–Tair; °C), and (b) maximum non‐photochemical Quenching – © JGR Biogeosciences

This suggests that heat acts as a direct inhibitor of the trees’ biological machinery, separate from the challenges of water regulation. As Klinek noted in coverage by Popular Mechanics, even when trees have the resources to “sweat,” the intense heat can still impair their fundamental breathing and functioning processes.

Effects Of Δt (°c) On Φpsii And Fvfm. Fvfm Measurements, Colored In Red, Were Taken On Dark‐acclimated Leaves.
Effects of ΔT (°C) on ΦPSII and FV/FM. FV/FM measurements, colored in red, were taken on dark‐acclimated leaves – © JGR Biogeosciences

Thermal Thresholds and Future Resilience

Historically, the redwood habitat has been defined by mild annual temperatures, typically averaging around 59 degrees Fahrenheit (15 degrees Celsius). However, projections from the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and the U.S. Forest Service paint a more daunting picture, with annual maximum temperatures potentially rising by 6.8 degrees Celsius before the end of the century.

The study provides clear evidence that these trees are approaching a thermal tipping point. While the research does not define an exact “lethal” temperature, it underscores that the trees’ capacity for adaptation is being severely tested. These findings mirror trends observed in other temperate forest species, suggesting that widespread physiological suppression could be a mounting issue for global forest health.

Temperature Response Curves For (a) Net Photosynthetic Rate (anet; μmol Co2 M⁻² S⁻¹), (b) Quantum Efficiency Of Open Psii Reaction Centers (Φpsii; Unitless), And (c) Non‐photochemical Quenching (n
Temperature response curves for (a) net photosynthetic rate (Anet; μmol CO2 m⁻² s⁻¹), (b) quantum efficiency of open PSII reaction centers (ΦPSII; unitless), and (c) non‐photochemical quenching (NPQ; unitless) – © JGR Biogeosciences

“The vulnerability observed in redwoods may be part of a broader trend in temperate forests, underscoring the need to consider thermal thresholds in climate resilience assessments,” the authors concluded.

After navigating millions of years of climatic volatility, the coast redwoods now face a modern challenge that threatens their ability to capture carbon and maintain their massive, ancient structures. This study makes it clear that understanding these internal thermal limitations is vital for the long-term survival of one of the planet’s most iconic species.

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Reference(s)

  1. Klinek, Lily., et al. “Summer Heat Stress Downregulates Photochemistry in Coast Redwoods.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, vol. 131, no. 9, September 22, 2026 American Geophysical Union (AGU), doi: 10.1029/2026JG010052. <https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2026JG010052>.
  2. “07354626212.” <https://www.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/legacy/document/2020/Oct/07354626212.pdf>.

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Moore, William. “Why Even Unlimited Water Can No Longer Protect the World’s Tallest Trees From Rising Heat.” BioScience. BioScience ISSN 2521-5760, 20 October 2026. <https://www.bioscience.com.pk/en/subject/environmental-science/the-worlds-tallest-trees-survived-20-million-years-but-scientists-just-found-a-threat-they-cant-escape>. Moore, W. (2026, October 20). “Why Even Unlimited Water Can No Longer Protect the World’s Tallest Trees From Rising Heat.” BioScience. ISSN 2521-5760. Retrieved October 20, 2026 from https://www.bioscience.com.pk/en/subject/environmental-science/the-worlds-tallest-trees-survived-20-million-years-but-scientists-just-found-a-threat-they-cant-escape Moore, William. “Why Even Unlimited Water Can No Longer Protect the World’s Tallest Trees From Rising Heat.” BioScience. ISSN 2521-5760. https://www.bioscience.com.pk/en/subject/environmental-science/the-worlds-tallest-trees-survived-20-million-years-but-scientists-just-found-a-threat-they-cant-escape (accessed October 20, 2026).
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